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- $\begingroup$ I still find it shocking that there would be perfect out-of-sample predictions like $R^2=0$ means, and that makes me believe there to be a bug in the code (somewhere). $\endgroup$Dave– Dave2023-12-20 15:19:25 +00:00Commented Dec 20, 2023 at 15:19
- $\begingroup$ @Dave: Do you mean an R-squared of 1? Yes, it is peculiar - I obtained an R-squared of 0.97 when I ran the model across daily data for the same period. I note that the author is calculating RSI using a 14-day window of the adjusted closing price, it might be the case that the closing price at time t is also included among the values in the RSI window which is artificially inflating the R-Squared. $\endgroup$Michael Grogan– Michael Grogan2023-12-21 23:09:07 +00:00Commented Dec 21, 2023 at 23:09
- $\begingroup$ Yes, I meant $R^2 = 1$ for perfect predictions. Your speculation that the outcome (somehow) makes it into the feature set would explain this, though any practical use of such a model would require a time machine. $\endgroup$Dave– Dave2023-12-22 14:39:56 +00:00Commented Dec 22, 2023 at 14:39
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