Skip to main content
Symbols changed
Source Link
true blue anil
  • 49.8k
  • 4
  • 32
  • 67

Let us try to avoid an infinite series

Let the probability of a person in line succeeding when her trial comes be $p$, failure $(1-p) = q$

Let $A$ = probability that person $S$$N$ in line ultimately succeeds, then either she succeeds in the first round, or with everyone failing the round, we are back to start

Thus $A = pq^\left(S-1\right) + q^N\cdot A$$A = pq^\left(N-1\right) + q^S\cdot A$

which yields $A = \boxed{\dfrac {pq^\left(S-1\right)}{1-q^N}}$$A = \boxed{\dfrac {pq^\left(N-1\right)}{1-q^S}}$

Let us try to avoid an infinite series

Let the probability of a person in line succeeding when her trial comes be $p$, failure $(1-p) = q$

Let $A$ = probability that person $S$ in line ultimately succeeds, then either she succeeds in the first round, or with everyone failing the round, we are back to start

Thus $A = pq^\left(S-1\right) + q^N\cdot A$

which yields $A = \boxed{\dfrac {pq^\left(S-1\right)}{1-q^N}}$

Let us try to avoid an infinite series

Let the probability of a person in line succeeding when her trial comes be $p$, failure $(1-p) = q$

Let $A$ = probability that person $N$ in line ultimately succeeds, then either she succeeds in the first round, or with everyone failing the round, we are back to start

Thus $A = pq^\left(N-1\right) + q^S\cdot A$

which yields $A = \boxed{\dfrac {pq^\left(N-1\right)}{1-q^S}}$

Mathjax and wording improved
Source Link
true blue anil
  • 49.8k
  • 4
  • 32
  • 67

Let us try to avoid an infinite series

Let the probability of a person in line succeeding when her trial comes be $p$, failure $(1-p) = q$

Let $A$ = probability that person $S$ in line ultimately succeeds, then either she succeeds in the first round, or with everyone failing the round, we are back to start

Thus $A = pq^{S-1} + q^N\cdot A$$A = pq^\left(S-1\right) + q^N\cdot A$

which yields $A = \boxed{\dfrac {pq^\left(S-1\right)}{1-q^N}}$

Let us try to avoid an infinite series

Let the probability of a person in line succeeding when her trial comes be $p$, failure $(1-p) = q$

Let $A$ = probability that person $S$ in line ultimately succeeds, then either she succeeds in the first round, or we are back to start

Thus $A = pq^{S-1} + q^N\cdot A$

which yields $A = \boxed{\dfrac {pq^\left(S-1\right)}{1-q^N}}$

Let us try to avoid an infinite series

Let the probability of a person in line succeeding when her trial comes be $p$, failure $(1-p) = q$

Let $A$ = probability that person $S$ in line ultimately succeeds, then either she succeeds in the first round, or with everyone failing the round, we are back to start

Thus $A = pq^\left(S-1\right) + q^N\cdot A$

which yields $A = \boxed{\dfrac {pq^\left(S-1\right)}{1-q^N}}$

Post Undeleted by true blue anil
Abridged
Source Link
true blue anil
  • 49.8k
  • 4
  • 32
  • 67

Let us try to avoid an infinite series

Let the probability of the firsta person in line succeeding inwhen her trial in the first roundcomes be $p$, failure $(1-p) = q$

$P(S_{th}$ Let $A$ = probability that person succeeding$S$ in first round) $= pq^{S-1}$

$P(\texttt{any}$ person succeedingline ultimately succeeds, then either she succeeds in the first round)
$= p(1+q+q^2+...q^{N-1}) = \frac{p(1-q^N)}{1-q}$, or we are back to start

Rounds will just repeat the same patternThus $A = pq^{S-1} + q^N\cdot A$

Thus $P(S_{th}$ person succeeding in game)which yields $=\dfrac{q^\left(S-1\right)*(1-q)}{1-q^N}$$A = \boxed{\dfrac {pq^\left(S-1\right)}{1-q^N}}$

Let us try to avoid an infinite series

Let the probability of the first person in line succeeding in her trial in the first round be $p$, failure $(1-p) = q$

$P(S_{th}$ person succeeding in first round) $= pq^{S-1}$

$P(\texttt{any}$ person succeeding in first round)
$= p(1+q+q^2+...q^{N-1}) = \frac{p(1-q^N)}{1-q}$

Rounds will just repeat the same pattern

Thus $P(S_{th}$ person succeeding in game) $=\dfrac{q^\left(S-1\right)*(1-q)}{1-q^N}$

Let us try to avoid an infinite series

Let the probability of a person in line succeeding when her trial comes be $p$, failure $(1-p) = q$

Let $A$ = probability that person $S$ in line ultimately succeeds, then either she succeeds in the first round, or we are back to start

Thus $A = pq^{S-1} + q^N\cdot A$

which yields $A = \boxed{\dfrac {pq^\left(S-1\right)}{1-q^N}}$

Post Deleted by true blue anil
Source Link
true blue anil
  • 49.8k
  • 4
  • 32
  • 67
Loading