Is a Cloud Computing Counterculture Emerging in 2025?
By David Linthicum
As we move into the middle of the decade, it’s increasingly clear that cloud computing’s honeymoon period is over. In its place, we see a maturing market where enthusiasm for “cloud everything” is meeting the sobering realities of cost, complexity, and, above all, business value. This has led to the rise of what I’d call a “cloud computing counterculture” — a community of IT leaders, architects, and engineers who are rethinking, repatriating, and, yes, even revolting against some of the cloud’s initial dogmas.
Not long ago, the public cloud was the uncontested king of IT strategy. Enterprises large and small raced to migrate workloads, envisioning endless scalability, effortless management, and favorable economics. Fast-forward to 2025, and we’re seeing a shift. The optics are changing. More CIOs and CTOs are candidly discussing repatriation — moving significant workloads back from the hyperscalers to on-premises or hybrid environments. Much of this isn’t about nostalgia; it’s driven by economics, performance, and regulatory requirements.
A crucial driver of this trend: AI workloads. Many organizations originally assumed their machine learning or generative AI workloads would run best and cheapest at scale in the cloud. In reality, for steady-state, high-volume jobs, the math is sometimes favoring custom, local, or edge solutions — especially as AI-specific hardware becomes more accessible. In 2025, it’s now common to see Fortune 500s running inference engines and training clusters on-prem or at colocation facilities, outside of traditional cloud boundaries.
The industry arrived at this inflection point because many early cloud adopters underestimated the full lifespan costs of cloud. Attractive pay-as-you-go models masked long-term expenses tied to data egress, storage, and specialized compute. As cloud investments cross the decade mark, enterprises are facing unforeseen multi-million-dollar bills and unpredictable cost spikes, often tied to AI and big data growth. For many, repatriation isn’t about “giving up on cloud”; it’s about taking back control and optimizing architecture in light of real-world experience.
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Diverging Camps: Critical Thinkers vs. Cloud ‘Fanboys’
Today, you can see a cultural split. On one end, there are the platform-aligned enterprises — pragmatic organizations rethinking dependencies on the largest public cloud providers, pushing back against proprietary lock-in, and exploring a more heterogeneous mix of platforms. On the other, there’s still a passionate contingent of public cloud superfans — the attendees filling tech mega-conferences, eager for the latest service launches from hyperscalers, convinced that more cloud is always the answer.
This growing divergence isn’t a bad thing. Markets mature by entertaining dissent and healthy skepticism. For too long, “cloud” was an article of faith; the only question was when and how, not if. Now, leaders are empowered to question default architectural patterns. They’re benchmarking costs, performance, and risk, choosing among public cloud, private data centers, edge computing, and hybrid approaches with eyes wide open.
A Sign of Maturity — and a Healthy Industry
If there’s a counterculture forming, it’s a sign that cloud computing has grown up. No technology should be above scrutiny. In 2025, our biggest, most digitally savvy enterprises are taking a critical look at cloud and every aspect of IT. They’re asking for unvarnished ROI, greater transparency, and real competition. At the same time, cloud providers are being challenged to innovate, improve pricing, and meet users on their terms.
In the end, this tension between critical examination and boundless cloud enthusiasm is exactly what the tech industry needs. It drives innovation, reignites the discussion about value, and ultimately helps everyone make better decisions. Cloud computing isn’t going away—but it’s finally out of the hype cycle, and that’s a good thing for us all.
Learnings is any workload that has to run 24x7 doesnot make long term commercial sense on cloud. Credits offered by hyperscalers are short term respite.
I'm rather surprised it took this long. Anyone owning a calculator in 2020 was able to realize that cloud wasn't the affordable solution everyone claimed it was. Everyone? I remember reading an article in early 2019 about a couple rather price-sensitive, large companies that abandoned their cloud strategies and went back to operating their own Datacenters (sadly, their names have escaped me). I feel it's now even the midsized companies that were behind the curve realizing they have been duped and locked in.